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FROM THE DESK
I felt my first earthquake a few years ago. A small one, magnitude 3-point something. Lasted maybe two seconds. But for those two seconds, every assumption I had about the ground being solid evaporated. It's a strange feeling when the thing you stand on decides to move. Made me take earthquake prep a lot more seriously, even though I don't live in California.
Here's what I've got today.
THE BRIEF
Earthquake Preparedness: Zero Warning, Maximum Disruption
Earthquakes are different from every other natural disaster we've covered. There's no forecast. No watch. No warning. The ground shakes, and you have seconds to respond.
The USGS estimates that about 143 million Americans live in areas with significant earthquake risk. That includes the obvious zones (California, Pacific Northwest, Alaska) and the less obvious ones (the New Madrid Seismic Zone covers parts of eight states in the central US, Oklahoma's induced seismicity from wastewater injection has increased dramatically).
During the shaking, the advice has been updated from "stand in a doorway" to "Drop, Cover, and Hold On." Drop to your hands and knees. Get under a sturdy desk or table. Hold on to the legs. If nothing sturdy is available, get against an interior wall, protect your head and neck with your arms, and stay low. Do not run outside during shaking. Falling debris near building exteriors is a major injury source.
Before it happens, secure your environment. Anchor tall furniture (bookshelves, dressers, water heaters) to wall studs using anti-tip straps. Use QuakeHOLD putty or museum wax on valuables and heavy objects on shelves. Move heavy items to lower shelves. Know where your gas shutoff valve is and how to turn it off (a gas leak after a quake is a fire hazard).
After the shaking stops, check for injuries and structural damage before moving. Expect aftershocks. They can be nearly as strong as the initial quake and can collapse already-weakened structures. If you smell gas, open windows and leave. Check your water heater and water lines for damage. Turn off utilities if you see damage.
Your emergency supplies for earthquake scenarios are the same as your general kit, with one addition: sturdy shoes by your bed. Earthquakes scatter broken glass everywhere. A pair of shoes you can put on in the dark, while lying down, before your feet touch the floor, is essential.
The psychological preparation matters too. Earthquakes are disorienting in a way that other emergencies aren't. The ground, the one thing you trust to be stable, moves. Practice Drop, Cover, and Hold On until it's automatic. That rehearsal is your bridge across the seconds when your brain locks up.
ONE THING THIS WEEK
Put a pair of shoes and a flashlight under your bed.
If an earthquake hits at 3 AM, you need to see and you need to protect your feet before you can do anything else. Takes 30 seconds. Does more than any earthquake app.
ON THE RADAR
Nearly 75% of the U.S. Could Experience a Damaging Earthquake — Including Cities That Don’t Know They’re at Risk
The USGS 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model — the most comprehensive update in decades — found that nearly three-quarters of the contiguous United States faces meaningful earthquake risk. The updated model raised risk levels for Atlantic corridor cities including Washington D.C., Philadelphia, New York, and Boston. The New Madrid Seismic Zone covering eight central states, plus Oklahoma’s induced seismicity from wastewater injection, adds millions of Americans who lack ShakeAlert coverage and live in buildings not designed to earthquake standards.
Only about 11% of American homeowners carry earthquake insurance. Standard homeowners and renters policies do not cover earthquake damage. For anyone in a moderate-to-high risk zone, that gap is worth pricing out before the ground moves.
Source: USGS National Seismic Hazard Model, USGS Significant Earthquakes 2026
LESSON FROM: JESSIE KREBS
Jessie Krebs, former USAF SERE instructor, brings a unique perspective to disaster preparedness. On Hacking the Wild, he demonstrated that survival priorities don't change based on the type of emergency. Shelter, water, fire, food, in that order. An earthquake doesn't change the priority list. It just changes the context.
Krebs teaches that your first action after any disaster should be a rapid self-assessment. Are you hurt? Can you move? Is your immediate environment safe? This three-second check prevents the most common post-disaster mistake: rushing to help others before confirming that you're capable of helping. You can't rescue anyone from under a doorframe if you're bleeding from a head wound you didn't notice.
WHAT'S HAPPENING
Historic Snowpack Collapse in the West Threatens Summer Water for 40 Million Americans
Eight Western states — Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming — all set new record-low April snowpack readings since monitoring began in the 1980s. Colorado’s statewide snow water equivalent hit 3.1 inches as of April 1, less than 40% of the previous record low set in 2012. The Colorado River Basin, which supplies water to 40 million people and 5.5 million acres of farmland, is sitting at 36% of storage capacity. Annual water releases are expected to drop from 7.48 million acre-feet to about 6 million acre-feet through September 2026, and most forecast sites are projecting less than 30% of average season runoff.
For preppers, this is a slow-motion supply chain disruption. The Colorado River feeds agriculture across the Southwest. Crop failures and water rationing tend to follow drought years like this by 6 to 18 months — meaning what’s accumulating in the snowpack (or failing to) right now will hit grocery prices and municipal water supplies this summer and into 2027.
Source: Colorado Sun, Drought.gov, Western Water
WHAT I'M TESTING
This is a simple product that does one thing well: it sticks objects to surfaces. You roll a small piece into a ball, press it under a vase, picture frame, monitor, or any object you don't want sliding off a shelf during shaking. It holds firmly but removes cleanly without damaging surfaces.
I've used it on about 20 items around my house, mostly in the kitchen (heavy serving bowls on open shelves) and the office (monitor, speakers, framed photos). It takes about five minutes per room.
It's not rated for extremely heavy objects. For those, use anti-tip straps and wall anchors. But for the everyday items that become projectiles during shaking, this stuff works. About $5 for a pack that covers a room's worth of items.
Budget alternative: Museum wax ($4). Same concept, slightly different application. Works on smooth surfaces. Either product dramatically reduces breakage and injury from falling objects.
OVERRATED / UNDERRATED
Overrated: Earthquake prediction apps. No technology can reliably predict earthquakes. ShakeAlert provides seconds of warning at best (useful but limited). The best preparation happens before any app sends a notification.
Underrated: Water heater straps. Your water heater holds 30 to 50 gallons of drinkable water and is connected to a gas line. Securing it to wall studs with earthquake straps ($15, 20 minutes to install) prevents it from toppling, which prevents gas leaks and preserves your largest emergency water source.
THE LINK DUMP
USGS Earthquake Map — Real-time earthquake tracking. See what's shaking right now.
ShakeAlert.org — West Coast early warning system. Seconds matter.
Ready.gov: Earthquakes — Federal guidance on Drop, Cover, and Hold On.
CEA (California Earthquake Authority) — Even non-Californians can learn from their preparation guides.
Grokipedia: Earthquake — Background on seismology and historical quakes.
NEXT ISSUE
Grid vulnerability. ERCOT, CAISO, and why your power grid might be less reliable than you think. Plus what to monitor and how to prepare for grid stress events.
PS: After my first earthquake, I strapped the water heater, secured the bookshelves, and put shoes under the bed. Total investment: about $30 and an hour. That's the kind of preparedness that takes almost no effort but matters enormously if the ground decides to move again.


