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FROM THE DESK

I spent an embarrassing amount of time last month refreshing news apps after a big storm warning. Three different outlets gave me three different stories, and none of them told me what I actually needed to know: was my area going to lose power, and for how long? That night I rebuilt my monitoring setup from scratch. Turns out, the best information rarely comes from the places most people look first.

THE BRIEF

Your Personal Intelligence Briefing (No Clearance Required)

The term OSINT sounds like something from a spy thriller. It stands for open-source intelligence, and it simply means information that is publicly available. You are already doing a basic version of it every time you check the weather. The difference between casual news consumption and useful situational awareness is structure.

Most people get their information from social media feeds and cable news. Both are optimized for engagement, not accuracy. They will tell you about a hurricane three states away in breathless detail while your local water main break goes unreported. The goal is to flip that ratio, to build a short daily habit that prioritizes information relevant to your actual location and circumstances.

Start with three layers. The first layer is local. Bookmark your county emergency management page and your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov. These are staffed by people whose entire job is tracking conditions in your specific area. The second layer is regional. Sites like PowerOutage.us and GridStatus.io show real-time infrastructure data for your state and region. A sudden spike in outage numbers or grid demand tells you something useful before the news catches up. The third layer is national and global, and this is where you can be selective. The New York Fed's Global Supply Chain Pressure Index updates monthly and tracks freight bottlenecks. The FEWS.net food security dashboard monitors global food supply issues. These are the same tools analysts use, and they are free.

The trick is discipline. Set a specific time, maybe ten minutes with your morning coffee, and check your sources in order. Local first, then regional, then the broader picture. If nothing has changed, close the tabs and move on. You are not trying to become an intelligence analyst. You are trying to notice things early enough to act on them.

Write your source list down. Bookmark them in a single browser folder. The whole setup takes fifteen minutes and costs nothing. What it gives you is a head start, and in preparedness, lead time is everything.

ONE THING THIS WEEK

Create a bookmarks folder called "Morning Brief" with five monitoring sources.

ON THE RADAR

Philippines Has 24 Days of LPG and 46 Days of Diesel Left

As of March 25, the Philippines — a nation of 115 million people — has 46 days of diesel and just 24 days of LPG (cooking gas) in national reserves, per the Philippine Department of Energy. The country imports 90% of its oil from the Middle East and consumes nearly 474,000 barrels per day against domestic production of just 14,300 bpd. The Iran war has disrupted its primary supply route, and diesel prices are up 120% since January.

This issue focuses on monitoring — knowing before things get critical. The Philippines had publicly available data showing this vulnerability for months. The question for your own household: what does your 30-day fuel or energy picture actually look like?

LESSON FROM: JOE TETI

Joe Teti, known from Discovery Channel's Dual Survival, has a background in unconventional operations and evasion. One principle he demonstrated repeatedly on the show was that information gathering comes before any other action. Before building shelter, before finding water, he would study the environment, looking for signs of water flow, animal trails, weather patterns, and potential hazards. He called it reading the terrain. For everyday preparedness, the same principle applies. Before you react to a headline or a rumor, gather your own data from reliable sources. The five minutes you spend confirming what is actually happening will save you from hours of misguided action based on bad information.

WHAT’S HAPPENING

Philippines Declares National Energy Emergency as Two-Day Transport Strike Begins

The Philippines became the first country to declare a national energy emergency tied to the Iran war, as 500,000 public utility vehicle drivers launched a two-day nationwide strike on March 26 to 27. Diesel prices have more than doubled since January — from ₱57.60 to ₱126 to ₱130 per litre — and the country has roughly 46 days of diesel reserves remaining, with LPG supplies down to 24 days. President Marcos activated emergency powers to control fuel prices and fast-track imports from alternative suppliers. The Philippines imports 90% of its oil from the Middle East.

For preparedness, this is a real-time example of what fuel dependency looks like when a supply chain breaks. A country with 10 weeks of notice and a government declaration still faces shuttered commutes and panic buying. Your local fuel supply carries no such warning label.

WHAT WE’RE TESTING

The UV-5R is a dual-band handheld radio ($22.99) that covers VHF and UHF frequencies. It requires no subscription, works when cell networks are down, and can monitor weather alerts, emergency services, and GMRS channels. At this price it is the lowest-cost entry point into ham radio for preparedness. Note: a Technician license is required to transmit legally in the US — receiving on any frequency requires no license.

OVERRATED / UNDERRATED

Overrated: Cable news for situational awareness. Optimized for national drama, not local relevance. You will know about a political scandal before you know your local reservoir is low.

Underrated: Your county emergency management website. Unglamorous, often ugly, and typically the fastest source for information that actually affects your daily life.

THE LINK DUMP

OSINT Framework — A massive directory of free open-source intelligence tools organized by category. Rabbit hole warning.

Broadcastify — Listen to live police, fire, and EMS scanners from anywhere in the country. Free.

Bellingcat — Independent investigative journalism using open-source methods. Excellent examples of OSINT in action.

Windy.com — Interactive weather visualization that shows wind, rain, pressure, and air quality in real time. Far more useful than most weather apps.

ADS-B Exchange — Unfiltered flight tracking. Shows military and government aircraft that other trackers hide.

FlightRadar24 — Live flight tracking worldwide. Useful during emergencies to see if airspace is active with response aircraft.

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NEXT ISSUE

Next issue we are covering pet and family preparedness. If you have kids, elderly relatives, or animals depending on you, your emergency plan needs to account for every one of them. I will break down how.

PS: If you spotted a piece of news this week before the mainstream coverage caught up — I want to hear about it. I am building a list of the best early-warning sources readers actually use. Hit reply and tell me what is in your Morning Brief folder.

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