14 Killed as Saudi Aramco Helicopter Crashes at World's Largest Oil Terminal

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season opens July 1. Forecasters are already projecting an above-average season — but forecasters are often wrong about specifics: which storms form, where they make landfall, how strong they get at peak.

Kalshi has real-money markets on hurricane formation, track, and intensity. When a named storm enters the Gulf, the market updates in real time. If you live in a coastal state, follow storm tracking obsessively, and know the difference between a Category 3 making landfall at high tide versus low tide, that's an edge.

Climate markets also cover daily temperature ranges across 20 US cities, monthly rain and snow totals, and the longer-term question of whether 2026 records as the hottest year in history.

This is the most overlooked category in prediction markets, which means the opportunity is real. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, there's no house edge, and no restricted winners. Season opens July 1. Start watching.

Trade hurricane season

_{Trade responsibly.}

In 2020, a friend lived three blocks from a protest that turned into property destruction. He watched from his window as businesses on his street were damaged. He didn't participate. He wasn't targeted. But for about 72 hours, he couldn't safely drive to the grocery store, his usual pharmacy was boarded up, and the tension on his block was thick enough to feel. His preparation for natural disasters served him well. His preparation for civil disruption was nonexistent.

Here's what I've got this week.

When the Disruption Is People, Not Weather

This newsletter doesn't take political sides, and this issue won't either. Civil unrest, protests, demonstrations, and their occasional escalation into property damage or violence, happens across the political spectrum, for a wide variety of reasons. Regardless of your opinion on the underlying cause, the practical preparedness question is the same: how do you keep your household safe when the disruption source is social rather than natural?

The first principle is awareness. Civil unrest rarely appears without warning. Social media, local news, and community communication networks usually signal rising tension days before escalation. Pay attention. If large demonstrations are planned in your area, that's your cue to verify your supplies, fuel your vehicles, and review your plans.

Geographic awareness matters. Know the usual protest locations in your city: government buildings, city centers, major intersections, and symbolic landmarks. Know the routes between those locations and your home, workplace, and children's schools. If unrest is active, avoid those areas. Route planning (Issue 28, Issue 31) applies here.

Shelter-in-place is the default response for most civilians during civil unrest. Stay home. Don't go out to observe. Don't drive through affected areas. Lock your doors. Close your blinds. Reduce your visibility. The vast majority of property damage during civil unrest targets businesses and public buildings, not private residences. But a residence that appears occupied and secure is less attractive to any opportunist than one that appears empty or vulnerable.

If you must travel during unrest, move during daylight when possible. Stay on main roads away from known demonstration areas. Keep your gas tank full. Have your phone charged with offline maps loaded (Issue 31). Don't stop for confrontations. If your route is blocked, turn around calmly and find an alternate.

Your supplies from previous issues cover most needs: food and water for 2+ weeks, backup power, communication plan, medical kit. The additional consideration is duration uncertainty. A severe storm lasts hours to days. Civil unrest can persist for weeks, with intermittent flare-ups that make normal life unpredictable.

The gray man principles from Issue 73 apply directly. Don't advertise your political views, your supplies, or your opinions during tense periods. Blend in. Be unremarkable. The person who draws attention, from any direction, is the person at greatest risk.

Cash matters more during civil unrest than during natural disasters because businesses may close unpredictably and card systems may be disrupted by damaged infrastructure. Maintain the cash reserve from Issue 49.

Identify the three most common protest or demonstration locations in your city.

Government buildings, city hall, major intersections, university campuses. Mark them on your map. Know the routes between those locations and your home. If unrest develops, you'll know which areas to avoid without needing real-time updates.

UK continues to be rocked by 4,000+ Grooming Gang Cases Found Buried in London — Sadiq Khan Had Said There Were None

Scotland Yard examined roughly 12,000 historical child sexual exploitation reports dating back to 2010 and flagged more than 4,000 closed cases for potential reinvestigation. That's one in three cases where investigators now believe police or prosecutors failed to act. All flagged cases have been passed to the National Crime Agency under Operation Beaconport. A report by Rupert Lowe estimates at least 150,000 British children abused during a 20 year period.

The findings directly contradict London Mayor Sadiq Khan, who previously stated there was "no indication" grooming gangs were operating in London.

If you're traveling to the UK: The United Kingdom has one of the lowest sexual assault prosecution rates in the developed world. According to Crown Prosecution Service and ONS data, fewer than 2% of reported rapes in England and Wales result in a conviction — with charging rates currently at 2.8%. These 4,000 newly flagged London cases are a reminder that the failure isn't isolated or recent. It's systemic, and it spans more than a decade. Awareness of not just crime rates, but the prosecution rates too is incredibly useful when traveling to other countries to see the full picture of how safe you are and how likely you ae to get justice should the worst occur.

Sources: GB News, IB Times UK, ONS 2025, CPS Data

Selco Begovic survived a year-long siege in Bosnia where civil order collapsed completely. In The Dark Secrets of SHTF Survival, he writes that the most dangerous period isn't the full collapse. It's the transition, the weeks or months when normal society is breaking down but hasn't fully broken, when some rules still apply and others don't, when some institutions function and others have abandoned their posts.

Selco's practical advice for civil unrest: don't assume it will stay at the current level. Prepare for escalation while hoping for de-escalation. Keep your supplies stocked. Keep your vehicle fueled. Keep your options open. And above all, avoid being in the wrong place. Most casualties during unrest are people who were somewhere they didn't need to be, out of curiosity, stubbornness, or poor timing.

Get The Dark Secrets of SHTF Survival on Amazon →

Saudi Aramco Helicopter Crashes at Ras Tanura, Killing All 14 on Board

On Sunday morning, a helicopter operated by Saudi Aramco crashed at the Ras Tanura terminal on Saudi Arabia's eastern Gulf coast. All 14 people on board — all Saudi nationals — were killed. An investigation is underway; no cause has been identified.

Ras Tanura is one of the largest crude oil export terminals on earth, channeling Saudi oil to refineries across Asia, Europe, and beyond. The facility sits near the mouth of the Persian Gulf — a single point of failure in the global energy chain that most people never think about until something like this happens.

But this crash surfaces a story that rarely gets told plainly: helicopters crash far more often than most people assume. In the United States alone, civil helicopter accidents average 100 to 130 per year, with 17 to 30 of those proving fatal. Globally, the International Helicopter Safety Foundation estimated roughly 52 fatal helicopter accidents annually — nearly one per week worldwide.

Most never make the news. The ones that break through do so because of where they happen, or who is on board.

The highest-profile helicopter crash in recent memory: January 26, 2020, in the fog-shrouded hills above Calabasas, California. A Sikorsky S-76B carrying nine people — including Kobe Bryant, his 13-year-old daughter Gianna, and seven others — slammed into terrain at more than 180 mph. The cause was spatial disorientation. The pilot, flying in deteriorating visibility, lost his reference to the horizon. The aircraft entered a steep descending turn and never recovered.

The Ras Tanura crash doesn't change your personal risk profile for daily life. But the next time a helicopter appears in your plans — an evacuation charter, a wilderness medevac, a scenic tour flight — it's worth thinking clearly about what you're boarding, and why.

Sources: Al Jazeera, Bloomberg, Saudi Press Agency, Helicopter Safety Data

Window Security Film (Revisit, Civil Unrest Context)

We covered window security film in Issue 66 for burglary prevention. During civil unrest, the same product serves a different purpose: preventing windows from shattering inward from thrown objects, shock waves, or accidental impacts during nearby disturbances.

The 3M Safety and Security Film holds broken glass in place, preventing dangerous shards from entering your home. For ground-floor windows facing streets, this provides meaningful protection from both opportunistic break-ins and collateral damage from nearby disturbances. About $30 to $50 per window.

Budget alternative: Close interior shutters or blinds and stay away from windows facing streets during active unrest. Free, but not as effective.

Overrated: Firearms as a primary civil unrest preparation. Personal defense has its place, but the skills that prevent conflict (awareness, avoidance, de-escalation, gray man behavior) prevent far more harm than the tools that respond to it. Don't skip the prevention steps and go straight to the response tools.

Underrated: Knowing your neighbors. During civil unrest, neighborhoods where people know each other watch out for each other. A connected block deters opportunistic targeting better than any individual security measure. Issue 70's community building pays dividends in exactly this scenario.

ACLED — Global conflict and protest tracking with US data.

Grokipedia: Civil Unrest — List of incidents of civil unrest in the United States.

Your local emergency management office — Many publish specific guidance during periods of elevated unrest.

Emotional first aid for families. Managing the psychological impact of frightening events on adults and children.

PS: My friend who lived through the 2020 unrest on his street said the most useful things he had were: a full pantry (didn't need to leave), a charged phone (stayed informed), and a relationship with his next-door neighbor (they checked on each other daily). Gear mattered less than community and supplies. That's a pattern we see in every type of disruption.

Hair dye fixes gray. It also gives you a bad smell, a hairline that looks painted, and roots that remain gray. Particle Anti-Gray Serum targets the root cause — restoring natural pigment gradually, hair and beard, no dye, no mess. Five seconds a day. Thirty-day guarantee. 20% off with code BH20.

Risk-Free & 20% Off Today

From the group stage to the final, trade real outcomes on Kalshi, official regional partner of the Argentine National Team. Who wins, who advances, who takes the trophy. Peer-to-peer, no house, cash out anytime. Get $10 free.

Trade Every Match

_{Trade responsibly.}